My Photo
Blog powered by Typepad

« Office Romance | Main | Culling Tech's Herd »

February 17, 2004


Mike Millikin

That's a bit apocalyptic. I recommend Kenneth Deffeyes' book "Hubbert's Peak" -- titled after the geologist who projected this situation in 1956. Deffeyes is a Princeton professor(emeritus)and former oilman (Shell) and provides a very accesible explanation of the science, math and oil exploration/engineering behind the oil (and gas) situation.
Bottom line -- we need to move with determination and focus to make the inevitable transition away from fossil fuels as painless as possible. That's going to require a combination of science/technology, public policy leadership and consumer demand to work. Nice marketing challenge. :-)

David Foster

Far too depressing a long-run scenario. If things start getting really bad, much of the present opposition to nuclear power will evaporate.

The immediate issue is, I think, likely to be natural gas rather than oil. It's doesn't store very well and is much harder to transport internationally, requiring specialized LNG ships and loading/unloading facilities. And power plants have been converting from coal to natural gas for some time; it won't always be easy (or even possible) to convert these facilities back if needed.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)